
Seven mistakes in analyzing data from Russia — and how to avoid them
Dmytro Voronenko on how official Russian numbers are "rebuilt"










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Why Russia Will Not Attack NATOEric Woods on why Russia can punish NATO—but cannot afford to fight it
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The Kremlin’s veteran hero cult stops at the workplace doorSergey Alexeev on status inconsistency: vertical honor and horizontal distrust for Russia’s Ukraine-war veterans
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Germany and Russia: From “Change Through Trade” to Sharp PowerDmitry Stratievski on the transformation of German-Russian relations after 2022
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Russia and Belarus: A Satellite with Room to ManeuverRoman Chernikov on how Belarus has tried to preserve its sovereignty after 2022
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Managed Elections and Unmanageable InterestKsenia Smolyakova on a growing public appetite for debate about what is happening in Russia
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Turkey and Russia: Economic Rapprochement amid Political RivalryNikita Smagin on Turkish-Russian relations after 2022
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Moscow’s Three University Pipelines for Drone WarMaksym Panchokha on how Russian universities feed the country’s drones and military through three distinct tracks
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Mobilization After the Elections?Olga Irisova and Anton Barbashin on how experts assess the likelihood of a new wave of mobilization in 2026
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Dmytro Voronenko Independent researcher. Publisher of incidence.world, a quantitative panel on the limits of Russian endurance in a war of attrition
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Denis Shedov Analyst at OVD-Info and a researcher of civil society and repression in contemporary Russia
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Daniil Beilinson Co-founder of OVD-Info, a human rights and environmental activist
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Eilish Hart Freelance writer and former Meduza deputy editor
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Ksenia Smolyakova Political Scientist, expert of the «Election Atlas» project











